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BASIC CATEGORIES OF RISK

BASIC CATEGORIES OF RISK :

With regards insurability, there are basically two categories of risks;

1. Speculative or dynamic risk; and

2. Pure or static risk

Speculative or Dynamic Risk 

Speculative (dynamic) risk is a situation in which either profit OR loss is possible. Examples of speculative risks are betting on a horse race, investing in stocks/bonds and real estate. In the business level, in the daily conduct of its affairs, every business establishment faces decisions that entail an element of risk. The decision to venture into a new market, purchase new equipments, diversify on the existing product line, expand or contract areas of operations, commit more to advertising, borrow additional capital, etc., carry risks inherent to the business. The outcome of such speculative risk is either beneficial (profitable) or loss. Speculative risk is uninsurable.

Pure or Static Risk 

The second category of risk is known as pure or static risk. Pure (static) risk is a situation in which there are only the possibilities of loss or no loss, as oppose to loss or profit with speculative risk. The only outcome of pure risks are adverse (in a loss) or neutral (with no loss), never beneficial. Examples of pure risks include premature death, occupational disability, catastrophic medical expenses, and damage to property due to fire, lightning, or flood.

It is important to distinguish between pure and speculative risks for three reasons. First, through the use ofcommercial, personal, and liability insurance policies, insurance companies in the private sector generally insure only pure risks. Speculative risks are not considered insurable, with some exceptions.

Second, the law of large numbers can be applied more easily to pure risks than to speculative risks. The law of large numbers is important in insurance because it enables insurers to predict loss figures in advance. It is generally more difficult to apply the law of large numbers to speculative risks in order to predict future losses. One of the exceptions is the speculative risk of gambling, where casinos can apply the law of large numbers in a very efficient manner.

Finally, society as a whole may benefit from a speculative risk even though a loss occurs, but it is harmed if a pure risk is present and a loss occurs. For instance, a computer manufacturer’s competitor develops a new technology to produce faster computer processors more cheaply. As a result, it forces the computer manufacturer into bankruptcy. Despite the bankruptcy, society as a whole benefits since the competitor’s computers work faster and are sold at a lower price. On the other hand, society would not benefit when most pure risks, such as an earthquake, occur.

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